Shares of Kroger (NYSE: KR) rose a smart +4% today as the nation’s largest standalone grocer beat profit estimates by 8% for the quarter ended May 22. Yet once you dig deeper into the numbers and get a sense of industry trends, it becomes apparent that shares could move sharply lower in the weeks and months ahead. It’s easy to look good when little is expected. Analysts were so bearish about the grocer’s rising cost picture that they lowered their profit forecasts well below… Read More
Shares of Kroger (NYSE: KR) rose a smart +4% today as the nation’s largest standalone grocer beat profit estimates by 8% for the quarter ended May 22. Yet once you dig deeper into the numbers and get a sense of industry trends, it becomes apparent that shares could move sharply lower in the weeks and months ahead. It’s easy to look good when little is expected. Analysts were so bearish about the grocer’s rising cost picture that they lowered their profit forecasts well below management guidance. So earnings were seemingly robust, but really only not as bad as feared. More important, earnings were more than 10% below year-ago results due to a sharp drop in gross margins. And gross margins are the real story here. If you’ve shopped for groceries at a Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) store in the last year, you’ve probably noticed that produce was the one category that seemed unusually pricey. Yet as we noted earlier this week , Wal-Mart is rolling back prices thanks to a renewed emphasis on securing locally grown… Read More