As we begin to close the books on the first half of 2018 — and prepare for second-quarter earnings season — it’s prudent to take stock of where we are. -The earnings multiple of the Standard & Poor 500 Index is 25.07, more than 10 points higher than its historical median of 14.69. Conservative investors might find this as dizzying as I do — it is rich valuation. The current bull market began in March 2009, which was 112 months ago. The average bull market lasts 97 months. -In May, U.S. companies bought back an astonishing $174 billion worth of… Read More
As we begin to close the books on the first half of 2018 — and prepare for second-quarter earnings season — it’s prudent to take stock of where we are. -The earnings multiple of the Standard & Poor 500 Index is 25.07, more than 10 points higher than its historical median of 14.69. Conservative investors might find this as dizzying as I do — it is rich valuation. The current bull market began in March 2009, which was 112 months ago. The average bull market lasts 97 months. -In May, U.S. companies bought back an astonishing $174 billion worth of their own stock. While that might be good for investors, it also reveals a profound law of money: You only get to spend it once! Allocating that pile of cash to buybacks means those dollars aren’t being spent on the capital expenditures that fuel organic business growth. After all, one can’t build a new widget factory if one has blown her allowance on Widget Co. shares. But remember Obermueller’s Law: No number has any meaning without the context of another number. —Recommended Link— More Than 150 Years Of Data Proves This Investment Beats All Others This is the MUST-OWN… Read More