In late 2015, before the first interest rate hike in ten years, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) released a note to investors about financial companies that stood to benefit from a lift in interest rates. The company namechecked Ramond James (NYSE: RJF), Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), Northern Trust (Nasdaq: NTRS) and Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) in particular, as potential winners in the event that the Federal Reserve raised rates by 50 basis points… a bit of an outlier, but an interesting hypothesis nonetheless. Goldman said that these companies would benefit from a 50 basis-point hike because they… Read More
In late 2015, before the first interest rate hike in ten years, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) released a note to investors about financial companies that stood to benefit from a lift in interest rates. The company namechecked Ramond James (NYSE: RJF), Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), Northern Trust (Nasdaq: NTRS) and Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) in particular, as potential winners in the event that the Federal Reserve raised rates by 50 basis points… a bit of an outlier, but an interesting hypothesis nonetheless. Goldman said that these companies would benefit from a 50 basis-point hike because they would “get most of the earnings upside from rates in the initial hikes rather than relying on normalized rates.” But did they? Not according to their share price movements. These four companies have been flat to down during the past nine months since the hike… Historical data doesn’t back up Goldman, either. From Fortune, on December 16, 2015, the day of the rate hike: Banks often get pointed at as potential buys when interest rates rise. And share of the biggest banks have been rising lately. That’s because they can benefit from higher interest rates as long… Read More