U.S. stocks are attempting to recover from their January swoon, albeit with high volatility and no shortage of down days. The correction may not be over, I’ve noticed some solid signs that indicate we might not be headed into an extended bear market. #-ad_banner-#One encouraging sign is the strong performance of consumer discretionary stocks. In contrast to consumer staples companies — the must-have-it products like food and toilet paper — consumer discretionary companies sell products and services that consumers can defer purchasing in uncertain times: cars, washing machines and amusement park tickets, to name a few. When investors fear a… Read More
U.S. stocks are attempting to recover from their January swoon, albeit with high volatility and no shortage of down days. The correction may not be over, I’ve noticed some solid signs that indicate we might not be headed into an extended bear market. #-ad_banner-#One encouraging sign is the strong performance of consumer discretionary stocks. In contrast to consumer staples companies — the must-have-it products like food and toilet paper — consumer discretionary companies sell products and services that consumers can defer purchasing in uncertain times: cars, washing machines and amusement park tickets, to name a few. When investors fear a recession, consumer staples stocks tend to outperform consumer discretionary stocks. But when the latter rally, it’s a strong sign that the consensus thinks the economy will be at least okay for the foreseeable future — and that consumers will have extra cash in their wallets. Currently, that seems to be the case — and for good reason. U.S. unemployment fell in January to 4.9%, an eight-year low. And average weekly earnings have risen 2.5% over the past 12 months. While not dramatic, it’s a notable improvement after years of stagnation. Employers across the country are reporting an increase in wage… Read More